According to senior scientist D S Pai from the IMD (Indian Meteorological Department), the precise location of Cyclone Biparjoy’s landfall will become clearer in the upcoming days.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has announced that Cyclone Biparjoy has intensified into an “extremely severe cyclonic storm” and is expected to hit land on June 15. The landfall is projected between the Kutch district of Gujarat in India and Karachi in Pakistan.
The meteorological office has issued a cyclone warning for the Saurashtra and Kutch coasts.
According to the IMD’s bulletin, the “extremely severe cyclonic storm Biparjoy” in the east-central Arabian Sea has been moving northeast at 8km/hr. As of the latest report at 11:30 hours, it was positioned around 550 km west of Mumbai, 450 km south-southwest of Porbandar, 490 km south-southwest of Devbhumi Dwarka, 570 km south-southwest of Naliya, and 750 km south of Karachi in Pakistan.
As per the IMD, the cyclone is expected to continue its northward movement until June 14. Subsequently, it will shift towards the north-northeast direction and make landfall between Mandvi in Gujarat, India, and Karachi in Pakistan. This landfall is anticipated to occur around noon on June 15. The cyclone is predicted to intensify into a very severe cyclonic storm with maximum sustained wind speeds of 125-135 kmph and gusts of up to 150 kmph.
According to their classification, a system is considered a cyclonic storm when its three-minute average maximum sustained wind speeds range from 63 to 88 kmph. A severe cyclonic storm is characterized by 89 to 117 kmph winds. In comparison, wind speeds between 118 and 165 kmph define a very severe cyclonic storm. Furthermore, an extremely severe cyclonic storm is classified when the wind speeds escalate to a range of 166 to 220 kmph.
According to D S Pai, the precise location of Cyclone Biparjoy’s landfall will become clearer in the upcoming days. Since its formation on June 6, there has been significant uncertainty regarding the track and intensity of the cyclone.
As per meteorologists, the storm experienced rapid intensification in its early stages and has maintained its strength due to the warmer waters of the Arabian Sea.
They have issued a heavy rainfall advisory for multiple districts in Gujarat, including Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar, Rajkot, Junagarh, and Morbi. Furthermore, it has advised the complete halt of fishing activities in the east-central, west-central, and north Arabian Sea until June 15.
On June 15, there is a high probability of heavy to extremely heavy rainfall occurring in various regions of Gujarat, including Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Jamnagar, Porbandar, Rajkot, Morbi, and Junagarh districts. The anticipated gusty winds and rainfall pose a significant risk to standing crops, houses, roads, power, and communication infrastructure. They may lead to the flooding of escape routes.
In addition, there is a potential for minor disruptions in railway services, overhead power lines, and signaling systems due to adverse weather conditions. It is crucial to remain vigilant and take necessary precautions to ensure safety and minimize the impact of cyclonic conditions.